Stephen Chikhani: Nadia Lockyer's
Feb. 26, 2012 | And the Oscar for Best Attempt at Ruining You and Your Husband’s Political Future goes to…
Obviously, Nadia Lockyer cannot accept this award because she is in rehab, but this picture is far from its final act.
The story arc contained in the “The Nadia Lockyer Affair” reached a new plateau, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. News came Saturday that Lockyer and her boyfriend/ex participated in a sex video. The scene, along with other salacious photos, were uploaded to Stephen Chikhani’s computer, according to Matier & Ross.
Chikhani also reportedly told investigators that it was Lockyer who initiated the now infamous Feb. 3 altercation at a hotel in Newark. The statement may be a reason why Chikhani has never been charged with a crime.
Whether it be bizarre ethical and moral missteps by Assemblywoman Mary Hayashi, Alameda County Chief Probation Officer David Muhammad, Assembly candidate Joel Young or Lockyer’s recent escapades, there is a growing distaste and disenchantment growing in the county and it could get very ugly from here to November.
If Lockyer was the aggressor Feb. 3—that’s one thing in the mind of voters who believe the whole story is far past a local embarrasement—but, the pure titillation of the 40-year-old Lockyer live on video with another man other than Bill Lockyer is probably too much for her district, supporters and Alameda County Democrats to stomach. If this is, indeed, the end of Lockyer’s one-year reign, who’s next in line?
A seat on the Alameda County Board of Supervisor is a plum job. It pays more than any other locally attainable position, but more importantly, its offers job security somewhere between dictator and Supreme Court justice. If Lockyer were to resign, the immediate list of possible candidates is short and mostly comprised of politicians already in races for office this year or already serving.
One of the first names consistently bandied about is Union City Mayor Mark Green. Most cite his extensive experience working with many of the same groups and commissions that a county supervisor would immediately interact with. Green also ran in 2010 for the same seat eventually won by Lockyer and narrowly losing out on advancing to the general election that year.
As Alameda County Supervisor Scott Haggerty said last week in speech in Dublin, the perfect candidate for county supervisor is someone who can start at full-speed on day one. Green would foot the bill, but he is also running for the Assembly’s 20th District centered in Hayward. If he were interesting in changing horse midstream, he would need to answer a few questions for himself.
Over the past three months, Hayward Councilman Bill Quirk has quietly begun constructing the foundations of inevitability in the 20th District race over Jenniefer Ong, Sarabjit Cheema and Green. With doubt beginning to be raised over Ong’s ability to win, which is more likely for Green? Finishing in the top two during the June 5 primary or replacing Lockyer on Oak Street?
Lockyer’s general election challenger, former State Senator Liz Figueroa, Saturday evening said via Twitter, “No way Jose,” when asked about her interest in running for supervisor again. Figueroa now works for Planned Parenthood and appears content in fighting the resumption of the old culture wars reigniting in presidential politics.
Former Hayward Councilman Kevin Dowling is another name being thrown out there. He also ran last time around and appeared to be the most knowledgeable when it came to understanding exactly what the board of supervisors attempts to accomplish on a daily basis.
Of course, speculation is only that until its reality, but there’s another very intriguing possible suitor for the seat. What about Ellen Corbett?
First, she would have to move from her home in San Leandro to District 2 in the southern portion of the county. There are numerous reasons why this would make perfect sense for the person former San Leandro Mayor Tony Santos calls, “the luckiest politician alive.”
Corbett was seriously contemplating a run for Alice Lai-Bitker’s supervisorial seat in early 2010. She relented and easily won re-election to the State Senate and subsequently named majority leader. Her interest in extending her political career is well known, but events in recent months have surprisingly put the possibility of replacing Rep. Pete Stark on life support.
Here’s the calculation should would have to make: If she does not make a surprise run this year for congress, joining Eric Swalwell and Stark, she will be risking the possibility of facing an opponent in Ro Khanna with millions in funding along with the appearance of support from heavyweights in the Democratic Party. Beating Khanna is nowhere near a certainty in 2014 and neither is beating Stark in 2012.
Corbett is definitely in a sticky quandary and that’s where the potential for Lockyer’s seat re-opening becomes manna from Heaven; an escape hatch to political safety apparently only afforded to the East Bay’s luckiest leader.
UPDATE: Although his political resume is even shorter than Nadia Lockyer's, Hayward Councilman Mark Salinas has been mentioned by more than few local insiders as a possible supervisor. It's an interesting suggestion. In just one year on the city council, Salinas has definitely raised his profile in a positive light. Many believe Salinas could also be the future mayor of Hayward.