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Thursday, February 27, 2014

Honda Leads All Comers In Latest Poll; Republican May Be Undercutting Khanna

Ro Khanna, Mike Honda
CONGRESS | 17TH DISTRICT | In a three-way race for the 17th Congressional District, Rep. Mike Honda holds a double-digit lead in both the June primary and head-to-head matchups in November against fellow Democrat Ro Khanna and Republican Vanila Singh. The poll, conducted Feb. 13-16 by Public Policy Polling, was commissioned by Democracy for America, which endorsed Honda last year.

The results not only show Honda in firm control of the race with under 100 days until the top two June primary, but also reveals the potential disruption the conservative Singh, a South Bay physician who entered the race last December, may pose for Khanna. Both are of Indian descent in one of the largest Indo American regions in the country.

When party affiliation is attached to each candidate, Honda received 45 percent of the poll, followed by Singh at 29 percent and Khanna at 26 percent. However, when the affiliation is removed, Honda’s support rises to 62 percent while Singh’s drops precipitously to 11 percent. Khanna, meanwhile, remains virtually constant at 27 percent, according to the poll. Both poll questions, however, include a relatively high margin of error at 6 percent.

"This poll shows that the real battle in June's primary will be between Ro Khanna and Dr. Vanila Singh, to see who will make it onto the ballot with Congressman Honda for November's general election," said Vivek Kembaiyan, communication director for the Honda campaign. "If I were supporting Khanna's campaign, I'd be seriously concerned that after spending over $1.1 million, they are in third place behind a candidate who has spent $915."

Republican Vanila Singh
Khanna’s campaign had a different take on the results when compared to an early poll commissioned by the Honda campaign almost a year ago showing a ridiculously large gap in support of the incumbent. “It is encouraging to know that, in a matter of months, Ro has increased his support from 5 percent to 26 percent while Rep. Honda’s lead has plummeted from 52 to 19 points and he’s now well under 50 percent--a danger sign for any incumbent," said Tyler Law, Khanna's communication director. "It’s clear that Ro’s campaign of energy and ideas is connecting with voters, who are tired of the stasis and dysfunction in Congress. The trends are very much in favor of change this November.”

Head-to-head general election matchups also favor Honda, according to the poll, which this time, feature a much larger sample of the district’s voter and a margin of error of 4.4 percent. In a November race between Honda and Khanna, Honda leads 61-39 percent. Honda also leads a bipartisan race against Singh, 69-31 percent. Similarly, Honda’s approval/disapproval numbers polled at 61-31 percent, with 8 percent without an opinion.

8 comments :

"In a November race between Honda and Khanna, Honda leads 61-39 percent. Honda also leads a bipartisan race against Singh, 69-31 percent."
The one thing this makes clear to me is that most of Ro's supporters are Republicans/Libertarians who would not vote for Honda no matter what. A shame.
Ro should really have run against Swalwell.

"when party affiliation is attached to each candidate, Honda received 45 percent of the poll, followed by Singh at 29 percent and Khanna at 26 percent"

Hmm, but in the June primary of 2012, Stark got 42%.

Stark at 42% and Honda at 45% and some folks think Honda is sitting pretty?
Pretty, yes, "pretty scared"...

In head to head matches Honda tops 60% which means they will have a hard time beating him. I think Ro is very disappointed in the poll.

Honda will be re elected-as will Swallwell-Tony Santos

Where does Ro run next? I'd support him if he moves to a republican district. Ro for Congress in a republican district in 2016!

I'm not sure about Swalwell, but I'm very sure about Honda.

I hear Ro's already hired a real estate agent. Moving after he loses in June.

How can someone represent a group of voters in a Cong. district when that person has not even lived in that district and probably still does not live there. Dr. Singh's bio says that she was born and raised in Fremont and that she has been living in the Bay Area. Hence is expected to be familiar with the local issues and the history of their evolution. She coming a second in the poll is no surprise. Khanna ran against Lantos and was unsuccessful. Then he moved across the Bay and contemplated running for Stark's seat after he retired. After he saw Swalwel beat Stark, he turned his sights to another district. I don't know why he chickened out in challenging Swalwel. Good luck in trying to identify the next vulnerable target after he loses in June.

Neither Singh or Ro can beat Honda. But surely they will have some leftover campaign signs in November that they can handover to their kids and grandkids.

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