Monday, January 12, 2015

Swalwell for Senate? It isn't a crazy idea

THE FLOAT: Rep. Eric Swalwell says he
may have interest in running for U.S. Senate.
U.S. SENATE | He isn’t serious? Is he?

While some of the biggest names in California politics are believed to be interested in replacing U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, who announced her retirement last week, there were hints dropped by Rep. Eric Swalwell that he might be angling for a promotion.

His office told Politico last Friday: “Today, Congressman Swalwell is celebrating Senator Boxer's service to California's families and environment. Congressman Swalwell remains focused on his work to bring new energy and ideas to Congress. Any decision about the future will come at a later time.”

Swalwell’s name has not been in the mix of potential candidates, which include, State Attorney General Kamala Harris, Treasurer John Chiang, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, current Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, SoCal Rep. Loretta Sanchez and wealthy environmental activist Tom Steyer, but not Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Since much of Swalwell’s first-term was predicated on marketing the idea he is a young, hard-working, tech-savvy leader through ebullient features in the San Francisco Chronicle and numerous media appearances to burnish said image, his interest in the job is likely meant to raise his profile.

Nonetheless, Swalwell’s over ambition is clearly evident and it has long been my prediction he would attempt a run at the U.S. Senate much earlier than later. Albeit, not this early, but his hubris is uncontrollable. Recall, on the day he was sworn-in to office for the first time in January 2013, Swalwell responded to a interviewer’s almost jokey question of whether he would run for president one day. Swalwell didn’t laugh off the query and gave a vague answer usually reserved for the Jeb Bush’s off the political landscape.

But, say, Swalwell’s interest is genuine, because there is actually a plausible path for the second-term congressman, if you apply his 2012 upset of Pete Stark to this race.

There are strange similarities, indeed, especially if the Democratic Party establishment moves to clear the field, most likely for Harris. Many East Bay politicos believe the key to Swalwell’s win was the absence of any other challengers to Stark. In this case, the Alameda County Democratic Party, through Stark’s insistence, unwittingly helped Swalwell by dissuading Ellen Corbett and Ro Khanna to sit out the race.

In addition, based on the early list of potential candidates, Swalwell would likely be the most moderate of the group. His predilection toward making Republicans feel comfortable with him was the electoral key to his 2012 victory. In the 15th Congressional District, Swalwell commands electoral superiority because he carries the Democratic Party moniker while seeking campaign contributions from wise conservatives who accept one of their own will never seat in that seat. Therefore, Swalwell is their least worst bet.

Now, whether Swalwell would help or hinder his political career by applying this strategy on the statewide level is debatable. The Chronicle wouldn’t mind, but other media outlets will likely pick up on the potential that Swalwell possesses in coming years for dialing the state’s dominant strain of liberalism. And nowhere on this list of potential competitors is a candidate like Stark who could implode at a moment’s notice.

There’ s no doubt Swalwell has a fair amount of naivete when it comes to governance, but one thing is clear, he currently has lady luck on his side and he sure knows how to run an insurgent campaign. That’s a pretty good start.


You have been smoking too much of the wacky weed Steven. You just gave me my laugh for the new year.

By MW:

In a way I was kind of disappointed that Babs Cocker Spaniel chose to retire, and rather than running for re-election in 2016, since on various issues Cocker Spaniel has been extremely closely aligned with a joker, con artist, and professional pathological liar who I will refer to as Puppet Popik, and once the full truth comes out in regard to Puppet Popik it will be more damaging to various parasites, and including the high ranking phonies in public office who pretend to be liberals, and such as for instance Boxer, Feinstein, and Pelosi, etc, than Watergate was to Nixon.

While Clinton had to deal with the public disclosures regarding his relationship with Monica Lewinsky, Nixon had to deal with the embarrassing disclosures related to Watergate, Wilbur Mills had his Fannie Foxe situation, John Edwards had his Reille Hunter situation, and for a time it was somewhat touch and go whether LBJ would survive disclosure of his close relationship with master con man Billie Sol Estes, however they will seem like low minor league once the full situation comes out in regard to Puppet Popik and the close alliances and working relationships Popik had on various political issues with Boxer, and especially on issues that are of the very utmost importance to the pseudo liberal agenda. And once the full truth comes out in regard to Puppet Popik, not just Boxer, but also Pelosi and Feinstein, etc, and in an attempt to distance themselves from the truth and the facts, will be engaging in far more lies and doubletalk than Bernard Madoff ever did.

Don't see this happening. He would not have the support, and have not been on the political scene long enough. He certainly would not do well in voter rich Southern California because of practically zero name recognition. He would probably just slightly better in Northern California. Although ambitious, I would think that he would be politically savvy enought not to run for US Senate in 2016. I just don't think that he will be running from a strong position. Out of all of the Statewide office holders, I think Newsome is a very likely candidate. I don't think VilIaraigosa is going to run. Despite the media hype, I would be surprised if Harris ran.

Why would Newsom want to go serve as a Senator when he's in line to become CA governor in 2018? An executive position is much preferable to a Senator, especially when your Party is not in control.

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