|Alameda City Council candidate Malia Vella.|
2. It's not a personal knock, but Alameda's Trish Spencer is easily the worst mayor in Alameda County. Nobody comes close and Spencer diehards are totally oblivious to how poor her reputation is outside Alameda city limits. I mention this because Alameda City Council candidate Jennifer Roloff is a Spencer clone and one has already done enough damage and two might be devastating. Roloff's newspaper ad featuring dozens of older white folks and one minority is appalling and a relic of an Alameda that is nearing a second foot in the grave.
3. I think all of the five Oakland City Council incumbents will win on Nov. 8. But Oakland Councilmember Lynette Gibson McElhaney won't be the council president next year.
|Oakland Mayor Libby Schaaf|
5. Rarely have I a seen a candidate less prepared to run for office but with more institutional support than San Leandro City Council candidate Bryan Azevedo. The unions strongly back Azevedo as does the Alameda County Democratic Party. His performance at a forum Oct. 6 was cringe-worthy, but for progressives he says all the right things and appears trustworthy. If he is victorious, you have to wonder how long it will take him to grasp even the basics of city government.
6. I think 16th District Assemblymember Catharine Baker’s campaign has been shaky. Maybe they’re feeling the sheer power of the powerful California State Democratic Party? Baker appeared far more confident facing Tim Sbranti two years ago. Yet, despite this, voters in the Tri Valley and Walnut Creek areas are more conservative than they like to say. This electorate still talks about BART strikes like they happened two hours ago and hates unions. Their suspicions about Democrat Cheryl Cook-Kallio and her ties to unions is a difference-maker.
7. I think if Cook-Kallio loses by a slim margin, she might seek a rematch in 2018. That is, if Assembly Democrats foot the bill again.
9. I can see Khanna winning and if he does he won't vote like a true progressive. He'll be just like Rep. Eric Swalwell in the nearby 15th District--a lapdog for Nancy Pelosi. It will be difficult for Rep. Mike Honda to roll back the June result that favored Khanna. High turnout of all these newly registered and young Democrats is Honda's ace-in-the-hole since polling has shown they favor him over the moderate Khanna.
10. Obviously, Ellen Corbett is over-qualified to be on the East Bay Regional Park District Board of Directors, but I don't think she'll be there very long. Where else might she land? There's a couple of different places...
11. Read this treatise on the Hayward election
|Captain Millennial? Rep. Eric Swalwell.|
13. Swalwell should actually be sad about how he is portrayed in the media. The only distinguishing fact about Swalwell is that he uses Twitter and posts pictures on Facebook? That’s impressive, bro. GTFO. LOL.
14. I think Sandre Swanson would represent the very progressive State Senate Ninth District better than Nancy Skinner. You need to realize that our brand of progressive ideology is so pure that it typically gets soiled in Sacramento by non-East Bay legislators. We need that purity in Sacramento.
15. But I think in this race, the voters cannot lose. Skinner most likely will grab a prime committee seat and get the job done, jamming the dirty carcass of government into that meat grinder, turning legislation into delicious sausage links.
Rep. Barbara Lee and Asm. Rob Bonta may lead
the East Bay's Great Reshuffling of 2017.
17. The future of the Alameda County Republican Party is incumbent on this screwy outfit figuring out how to keep talented prospects like the young 15th Assembly District candidate Claire Chiara engaged in local politics. Thoughtful and poised, Chiara has been one of the revelations of this fall election season in the East Bay. What they cannot let her do is shoot too high, too soon. However, way too many local GOPers are too shortsighted to realize their bench needs to be stocked at lower offices, not a fruitless runs for Congress.
18. Alameda County Superior Court judicial candidate Barbara Thomas is bat shit crazy. I wouldn't let her judge a dog show.
19. While on that subject, I think we should rid ourselves of voting for Superior Court judges. What's the point? The State Bar prohibits them from running campaigns that distinguish the candidates, so how do we know who we're voting for? Also, Alameda should abolish the city treasurer and auditor positions as elected positions. These guys don't do anything that requires an elected office. They probably work three weeks a year.
Rent control, along with increasing the minimum
wage, is the defining issue of our time.