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Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Form 460: East Bay's semi-annual campaign finance reports

CAMPAIGN FINANCE REPORTS
--MONEYBALL--
It may be only August, but for federal, state and county races, the time for campaigns to raise money in advance of the June Primary is now. Based on mid-year campaign finance reports through June 30, several East Bay politicians were busy this year. Below are contributions, expenditure and ending cash on hand for East Bay races for Congress, State Legislature, Alameda County contests and November 2018 municipal elections in Alameda, Berkeley, Oakland, and San Leandro.


CONGRESS
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
CA13             IN      OUT       CASH
LEE        $428,526 $327,425 $  139,785

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
CA15             IN      OUT       CASH
SWALWELL   $605,911 $586,310 $1,033,724

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
CA17             IN      OUT       CASH
KHANNA     $761,241 $455,603 $  360,730
COHEN      $    225 $     52 $      132
TRAN        --no report--
--SKINNY-- Very few politicians in the East Bay can raise money like Khanna, but his numbers are down. Of course, he's not even through his first year in Congress, but if Khanna wants to be a big player, he's going to have to become a cash cow for the DNC like Rep. Eric Swalwell and Assemblymember Rob Bonta for state Dems.

STATE SUPERINTENDENT
            | JAN 1-JUN 3O |
                 IN      OUT       CASH
TUCK     $1,207,516 $207,619 $1,063,140
THURMOND   $896,493 $ 98,929 $  860,912
--SKINNEY-- Assemblymember Tony Thurmond is off to a good start against Marshall Tuck, who is running his second straight race for superintendent. Unsurprisingly, Tuck outraised Thurmond. But in this race, don't worry too much about a candidate's individual fundraising numbers. Like 2014, this race is going to be about ungodly amounts of Independent Expenditure dollars on both sides--teachers unions for Thurmond, charter schools for Tuck.

ASSEMBLY
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD15             IN      OUT       CASH
WICKS      $209,314 $ 14,257 $  202,910
KALB       $ 71,570 $  3,338 $   69,975
KATZ       $ 50,024 $      0 $   50,024
BECKLES    $ 49,549 $ 17,687 $   35,521
APPEL      --no report--
--SKINNY-- So far, so good. Four of the five early candidates posted fundraising numbers that suggest viability. Remember this race is likely to feature a bruising primary AND general election, so an ability to draw from a wide pool of donors will be essential.

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD16             IN      OUT       CASH
BAKER      $369,016 $114,011  $ 297,433
TARANTINO   --no report--

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD18             IN      OUT       CASH
BONTA      $451,562 $197,394 $1,545,871

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD20             IN      OUT       CASH
QUIRK      $117,016 $ 79,278 $   82,494

            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD16             IN      OUT       CASH
CHU        $ 78,749 $ 52,429 $   26,539

STATE SENATE
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
SD10             IN      OUT       CASH
WIECKOWSKI $  9,000 $  7,663 $    8,065
--SKINNY-- State Sen. Bob Wieckowski's inattention to fundraising suggests he doesn't foresee a credible challenger next spring, and he's probably right.

ALCO BOARD OF SUPERVISORS
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
D3               IN      OUT       CASH
CHAN       $ 99,307 $ 35,276 $  102,854

D5               IN      OUT       CASH
CARSON     $      0 $  4,992 $   95,511
--SKINNY-- Interesting that Supervisor Wilma Chan raised nearly $100,000 this year. Without any roads leading to higher office, her haul might indicate that she's hearing rumors of someone like Ellen Corbett coveting her seat. That's not likely, but politicians are notoriously paranoid over such matters.

ALCO DISTRICT ATTORNEY
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD16             IN      OUT       CASH
O'MALLEY   $    825 $  9,131 $  293,118
PRICE      $ 41,922 $  8,475 $   34,347
--SKINNY-- Civil Rights Attorney Pamela Price is such an overwhelming underdog here that it's not even funny, but yet you somehow can't count her out. And although her nearly $42,000 in contributions pales in comparison to DA Nancy O'Malley, it's quite impressive, nonetheless.

ALCO SHERIFF
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
AD16             IN      OUT       CASH
AHERN      $ 18,200 $  9,256 $  242,833

ALAMEDA
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
COUNCIL          IN      OUT       CASH
ASHCRAFT   $ 24,650 $  9,745 $      420
ODDIE      $      0 $    355 $    7,339
VELLA      $  2,000 $  2,719 $    2,772
DAYSOG     $      0 $      0 $        0
MATARRESE  --no report--

MAYOR
SPENCER    --no report--

BERKELEY
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
COUNCIL          IN      OUT       CASH
HARRISON   $ 29,690 $ 40,023 $   13,842
MAIO       $      0 $    156 $    2,586
DROSTE     $  3,883 $      0 $    1,756
WORTHINGTN $      0 $      0 $      111

OAKLAND
            | JAN 1-JUN 30 |
MAYOR            IN      OUT       CASH
SCHAAF     $161,557 $  8,425 $  153,312

COUNCIL
WASHINGTON $ 10,260 $  5,759 $    8,935
BROOKS     $      0 $      0 $    8,866
GUILLEN    $  6,275 $  2,629 $    5,411
--SKINNY-- Mayor Libby Schaaf's $161,000 in contributions means it may be true that she's at least thinking about running for some rumored statewide office. She certainly isn't amassing a war chest for re-election because nobody is going to beat her next year.

SAN LEANDRO
            | JAN 1-JUL 31 |
                 IN      OUT       CASH
MAYOR
CUTTER     $ 20,232 $    942 $   19,359
LEE        $ 28,050 $  3,630 $   63,899

COUNCIL
LOPEZ      $ 11,700 $      0 $      572
AGUILAR    $  1,000 $     52 $    1,658
COX        --no report--
THOMAS     --no report--
--SKINNY-- There are many rumors in San Leandro about Councilmember Benny Lee eyeing a challenge against Mayor Pauline Cutter next year. Those whispers appear to have legs. Why would an already well-funded councilmember in San Leandro be raising significant amounts of money just months after re-election if he wasn't thinking about another office? Cutter also appears to be hearing the rumors. Her $20,000 this year is also higher than normal.

1 comment:

  1. What's the reasoning behind "can't count Pamela Price out" for Alameda District Attorney? I think her chances are zero

    ReplyDelete